MAY 6, 2014
2014 Midterm Elections Forecast: Like most forecasting models, Election Lab uses the past to predict the future. To predict House and Senate elections in 2014, we draw on the elections from 1980-2012. We first look at how well key factors were related to outcomes in those past elections. Then, we gather information about those same factors for 2014. Assuming that these factors will be related to election outcomes in 2014 in the same way they were from 1980 to 2012, we can make a prediction about who will win each race. Read more here.
NC Supreme Court primary spending tops $1M: A Republican group bankrolling an ad that accuses North Carolina Supreme Court Justice Robin Hudson of being sympathetic to child molesters poured more money into the race on May 2, making the state Supreme Court primary a $1 million campaign. Read more here.
Five questions today’s primary will answer: After millions of dollars in television ads, months of political stump speeches, chicken dinners, polls and speculation, fewer than 1 in 5 eligible voters will head to the polls today if past North Carolina primaries are any guide. Read more here.
Supreme Court upholds legislative prayer at council meetings: A divided Supreme Court ruled Monday that legislative bodies such as city councils can begin their meetings with prayer, even if it plainly favors the religion of the speaker. The court ruled 5 to 4 that Christian prayers given before meetings of an upstate New York town council did not violate the constitutional prohibition against government establishment of religion. Read more here.
Wake commissioners postpone talk of legislative agenda: State lawmakers likely will be back in session before the Wake County Board of Commissioners has formalized its legislative goals for the year, since the board postponed discussion of the items Monday. Read more here.
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